News and Facts about Cuba

Will Cuba rejoin the IMF?

Will Cuba rejoin the IMF?
JAMES M. BOUGHTON 10 HOURS AGO

The restoration of diplomatic relations between Cuba and the United
States unlocks new prospects for the island’s . Some steps,
including the removal of the U.S. trade , are prohibited by the
Helms-Burton Act, adopted by the U.S. Congress in 1996. But the renewal
of Cuba’s membership in the International Monetary Fund is a real
possibility.

Cuba was one of the IMF’s 40 original members. It was involved in much
of the preliminary planning for the 1944 Bretton Woods conference, and
had an active delegation there. As early as 1941, Cuba worked together
with other Latin American countries in an unsuccessful attempt to
establish a monetary role for silver, alongside gold. Later, it helped
to secure greater voting rights for small states and a special status
for Latin American countries on the IMF Executive Board.

After Cuba joined the IMF (and the World Bank) in 1946, it played a
positive role in the Fund for the next 12 years. In 1954, it became the
10th country to accept the full obligations of the Fund’s Article VIII,
eschewing the use of foreign-exchange restrictions on international
trade. In 1956, it took a routine loan from the Fund, repaying it the
following year. And then the trouble began.

In 1958, the government of Fulgencio Batista borrowed a small
amount from the IMF: $12.5 million, equivalent to 25 percent of Cuba’s
quota. The terms of the loan called for Cuba to repay it within six
months; by then, however, the government was close to collapsing.

After ’s forces overthrew the Batista regime in January
1959, the new government repeatedly sought to postpone repayment. But
when the balance due was still outstanding in 1963 (with interest
charges piling up), the IMF’s rules required its managing director to
take action that would prohibit further use of the Fund’s resources.
That process dragged on for several months, until Cuba renounced its
membership in 1964. Nonetheless, over the next five years, the Castro
government gradually repaid the full amount due, including all interest
charges.

After the U.S. trade embargo was imposed in 1960, Cuba became heavily
dependent on the Soviet Union for economic support. When the Soviet
Union collapsed in 1991, the end of reliable trade and financial backing
threw the Cuban economy into a severe recession, which abated only after
the government relaxed some restrictions on private enterprise. In an
effort to strengthen economic relations with a broader range of
countries, the Castro government then began putting out feelers toward
the IMF.

In 1993, Cuba invited an IMF official, Executive Director Jacques de
Groote, to visit Havana for secret meetings with Castro and other senior
officials. De Groote, who had a good relationship with a number of
Communist countries, offered advice on a personal basis and provided
documents and other information about how the Fund operated and what it
could offer. That led to further contact, at a lower level, and
eventually to a request for technical assistance from the IMF. The Fund,
bowing to opposition from the U.S., declined the request. And there the
matter rested.

It is impossible to know whether the Castro government was interested in
rejoining the IMF in the 1990s. What is clear, however, is that any
effort in that direction would have been futile. Approval of a
membership application requires a simple majority vote by the IMF Board
of Governors. Opposition by the U.S., which controls approximately 17
percent of the vote, would not in itself be decisive. But many countries
– even some that would normally be receptive to a Cuban application –
would be reluctant to cross the U.S. When communist Poland applied to
rejoin the IMF in 1981, for example, U.S. opposition induced the Fund’s
managing director not to bring the matter before the board; no vote was
taken until the U.S. dropped its objection.

To be sure, Cuba might initially decide not to apply. Joining the IMF
would give it access to information, advice, and hard-currency loans;
but it would also require the government to divulge data on the Cuban
economy.

At some point, however, it is likely that Cuba will want to renew its
membership, at which point the outcome will hinge on the U.S. position.
The Helms-Burton Act requires the U.S. Treasury Secretary to “instruct
the United States executive director of each international financial
institution to use the voice and vote of the United States to oppose the
admission of Cuba as a member until the President submits a
determination under section 203(c)(3) that a democratically elected
government in Cuba is in power.” But, though the law requires the U.S.
to vote against Cuban membership, the U.S. does not have a veto. Absent
U.S. pressure on others to follow its lead, there would be nothing to
stop the rest of the board from approving Cuba’s application.

Under President Barack Obama, the U.S. is on record as favoring Cuba’s
reintegration into the world economy. The U.S. could further that
objective by letting it be known diplomatically that it will not object
if others allow Cuba to return to the IMF.

James M. Boughton, a senior fellow at the Center for International
Governance Innovation (CIGI), is a former historian of the International
Monetary Fund.

Source: Will Cuba rejoin the IMF? — The Tico Times –
http://www.ticotimes.net/2015/01/08/will-cuba-rejoin-the-imf

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